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Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sha'ata U.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Hilf Q.
27' Event
Hilf Q.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Ironi Nesher and Beitar Nahariya finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Nesher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ironi Nesher
20%
Draws
40%
Beitar Nahariya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ironi Nesher come out ahead of Beitar Nahariya on wins alone.
  • Ironi Nesher are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nahariya Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Nesher Beitar Nahariya
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.7 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.55 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Nesher Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilf Q.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Safia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Beitar Nahariya Compare

Top Goalscorer Biton I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Nesher 67 / 100
Beitar Nahariya 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Nesher Beitar Nahariya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ironi Nesher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ironi Nesher scored in 80% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ironi Nesher has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Beitar Nahariya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 9 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Nesher VS Beitar Nahariya
0.75 Goals Scored 1.43
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
13% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Nesher

(Home)
08 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 1
Ironi Nesher
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 4

Beitar Nahariya

(Away)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
3 : 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
2 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)