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Ironi Nesher vs Kiryat Haim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This has Ironi Nesher written all over it on paper. Ironi Nesher have averaged 1.74 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Kiryat Haim's 1 scored and 2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 0.75) point toward Ironi Nesher. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ironi Nesher
25%
Draws
35%
Kiryat Haim
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ironi Nesher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ironi Nesher come out ahead of Kiryat Haim on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ironi Nesher a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Ironi Nesher have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%
Kiryat Haim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Nesher Kiryat Haim
Matches Played 19 1
Wins 8 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.74 1
Goals Conceded 1.53 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Nesher 85 / 100
Kiryat Haim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Nesher Kiryat Haim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ironi Nesher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Haim let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Ironi Nesher has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ironi Nesher scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Away concern: Kiryat Haim has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Nesher VS Kiryat Haim
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Nesher

(Home)
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
04 Sept
Ironi Nesher
6 : 1
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Page 1 of 4

Kiryat Haim

(Away)
30 Sept
Kiryat Haim
1 : 2
Hapoel Yarka

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
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