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Stadium Background

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Almagor O.
37'
Abuhav O.
41' Event
Ghanem Q.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligat ha'Al matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ironi Tiberias
20%
Draws
51%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Jerusalem have won more games recently than Ironi Tiberias.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:2
May 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Ironi Tiberias
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:0
May 3, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Ironi Tiberias
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghanem Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Warsana N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idoko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Tiberias 30 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Tiberias scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Hapoel Jerusalem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ironi Tiberias stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Tiberias VS Hapoel Jerusalem
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Tiberias

(Home)
10 Oct
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 6 5 1 0 18:6 16
2 Hapoel Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 H. Beer Sheva 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
4 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
5 Hapoel Haifa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
6 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
7 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
8 Netanya 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
9 Maccabi Petah Tikva 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
10 Sakhnin 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
11 Hapoel Petah Tikva 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
12 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
13 Shmona 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 6 2 1 3 7:10 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)