Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Irtysh Omsk vs Tyumen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver Red Star Stadium, Omsk
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Irtysh Omsk host Tyumen in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Tyumen have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Irtysh Omsk have conceded 1.97 and scored 0.72. Past meetings favor Tyumen slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.06 - 2.69) back Tyumen to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Irtysh Omsk
15%
Draws
64%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tyumen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tyumen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 10%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irtysh Omsk Tyumen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.72 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk
5:0
May 14, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 4
Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk
2:2
Nov 1, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 4
Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk
4:0
Sep 6, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 4
Irtysh Omsk vs Tyumen
0:3
Jul 17, 2022 Club Friendly
Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irtysh Omsk 14 / 100
Tyumen 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irtysh Omsk Tyumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tyumen conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Irtysh Omsk scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Irtysh Omsk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Irtysh Omsk VS Tyumen
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Irtysh Omsk

(Home)
27 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
19 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
13 Sept
Torpedo Miass
3 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
05 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
Page 1 of 6

Tyumen

(Away)
03 Oct
Tyumen
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
26 Sept
Torpedo Miass
2 : 0
Tyumen
19 Sept
Tyumen
2 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 2 10 8 2 0 26:4 26
2 Amkar 10 6 1 3 23:13 19
3 Tyumen 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
4 Torpedo Miass 10 5 0 5 17:14 15
5 Dynamo Stavropol 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
6 Irtysh Omsk 10 2 1 7 9:22 7
7 Dynamo Moscow 2 10 2 1 7 7:28 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)