Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iruna vs Mendi

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009 game between Iruna and Mendi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iruna
30%
Draws
31%
Mendi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Iruna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Iruna a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iruna here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Iruna Clean Sheet 20%
Mendi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iruna Mendi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mendi vs Iruna
1:1
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Mendi
2:1
May 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Mendi
3:1
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mendi vs Iruna
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iruna 67 / 100
Mendi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iruna Mendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mendi conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Iruna found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Iruna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iruna VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iruna

(Home)
13 May
Valle Egues
3 : 2
Iruna
05 May
Iruna
4 : 0
CD Baztan
28 Apr
CD Gares
1 : 1
Iruna
21 Apr
Iruna
1 : 1
Burlades
15 Apr
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Iruna
Page 1 of 7

Mendi

(Away)
14 May
Mendi
1 : 1
Iruna
08 May
Cortes
2 : 0
Mendi
30 Apr
Mendi
3 : 5
CD River Ega
22 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 3
Mendi
16 Apr
Mendi
0 : 1
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 40 28 8 4 87:29 92
2 Pena 40 27 8 5 82:33 89
3 Tudelano 40 20 13 7 68:35 73
4 Mutilvera 40 21 10 9 72:40 73
5 AD San Juan 40 20 10 10 65:41 70
6 Iruna 40 19 10 11 62:44 67
7 Cirbonero 40 16 12 12 50:45 60
8 Valle Egues 40 17 9 14 58:52 60
9 Huarte 40 13 14 13 52:44 53
10 CD Lourdes 40 14 10 16 46:56 52
11 Aoiz 40 12 12 16 48:54 48
12 Txantrea 40 11 14 15 46:52 47
13 CD Aluvion 40 13 8 19 53:80 47
14 Oberena 40 14 5 21 51:63 47
15 CD River Ega 40 13 8 19 44:62 47
16 Pena Azagresa 40 13 5 22 50:75 44
17 Murchante 40 10 13 17 38:59 43
18 Idoya 40 12 7 21 41:59 43
19 CD Ardoi 40 8 17 15 48:59 41
20 Lagunak 40 11 4 25 39:71 37
21 Mendi 40 4 11 25 32:79 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)