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Ischia vs Melfi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
2 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Ischia host Melfi in the Serie D - Group H. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Ischia at 1.15 goals for, 1.58 against; Melfi at 0.71 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Ischia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2016, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.88) back Ischia to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ischia
30%
Draws
47%
Melfi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Melfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ischia lately — more wins on the board than Melfi.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ischia Clean Sheet 20%
Melfi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Melfi
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.15 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Ischia
3:0
Oct 11, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Ischia vs Melfi
1:0
Jan 17, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Ischia vs Melfi
0:1
Sep 6, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Ischia
0:0
Aug 21, 2014 Coppa Italia Serie C
Melfi vs Ischia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 36 / 100
Melfi 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Melfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melfi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ischia scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Melfi has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Melfi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS Melfi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 7

Melfi

(Away)
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)