Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Isernia vs Recanatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Coratella C.
44' Event
Baba Y.

AI Match Summary

Isernia in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Isernia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Isernia
15%
Draws
53%
Recanatese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recanatese lately — more wins on the board than Isernia.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Recanatese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Isernia Clean Sheet 20%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isernia Recanatese
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Recanatese
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Isernia
3:3
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Recanatese
0:0
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Isernia
1:1
Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Isernia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isernia Compare

Top Goalscorer Coratella C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baba Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Recanatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isernia 28 / 100
Recanatese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isernia Recanatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recanatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Isernia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Isernia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Recanatese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Isernia

(Home)
04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0
Isernia
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Isernia
1 : 2
Aquila Calcio
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Isernia
Page 1 of 6

Recanatese

(Away)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)