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Iskra Danilovgrad vs Jezero Prediction & H2H Stats

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Braca Velasevic Stadium, Danilovgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Maksimovic D.
25' Event
Tucevic I.
38'
Sub
Kaneda R. In: Cetkovic D.
Out: Kaneda R.

AI Match Summary

Jezero in this Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Iskra Danilovgrad
20%
Draws
29%
Jezero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iskra Danilovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jezero haven't matched Iskra Danilovgrad's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Iskra Danilovgrad have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jezero, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Iskra Danilovgrad Clean Sheet 68%
Jezero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Danilovgrad Jezero
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Jezero
1:5
May 29, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Iskra Danilovgrad
3:0
May 14, 2023 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Iskra Danilovgrad
2:0
Mar 13, 2023 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Jezero
1:1
Nov 12, 2022 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Iskra Danilovgrad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Danilovgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Scepanovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jezero Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tucevic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Danilovgrad 41 / 100
Jezero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Danilovgrad Jezero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Danilovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jezero has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Iskra Danilovgrad's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iskra Danilovgrad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Danilovgrad VS Jezero
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Danilovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Kom Podgorica
0 : 1
Iskra Danilovgrad
20 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 2
Lovcen
16 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Iskra Danilovgrad
12 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 1
FK Podgorica
06 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Iskra Danilovgrad
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Jezero

(Away)
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1
Bokelj
10 Sept
Buducnost
3 : 0
Jezero
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Jezero 8
Iskra Danilovgrad 1
Bokelj 2
Grbalj 0