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Iskra Hnusta vs Partizan Cierny Balog

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Hnusta play Partizan Cierny Balog in the Slovak Cup 2022/2023. Iskra Hnusta are favorites here. Recently, Iskra Hnusta averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Partizan Cierny Balog averaged 2.4 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. In past meetings, Iskra Hnusta won 1, Partizan Cierny Balog won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 30, 2022 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Iskra Hnusta and 2.08 for Partizan Cierny Balog. This points to a Iskra Hnusta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Iskra Hnusta
15%
Draws
28%
Partizan Cierny Balog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Hnusta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Iskra Hnusta picked up more points recently compared to Partizan Cierny Balog.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 2.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Iskra Hnusta Clean Sheet 10%
Partizan Cierny Balog Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Hnusta Partizan Cierny Balog
Matches Played 12 5
Wins 3 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.33 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 Slovak Cup
Iskra Hnusta vs Partizan Cierny Balog
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Hnusta 53 / 100
Partizan Cierny Balog 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Hnusta Partizan Cierny Balog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Hnusta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Iskra Hnusta & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iskra Hnusta attacking → ← attacking Partizan Cierny Balog

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Hnusta scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Partizan Cierny Balog let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Iskra Hnusta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Partizan Cierny Balog lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 3
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.40
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.20