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Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Ribnita host FCM Ungheni in the Liga 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FCM Ungheni have shipped 1.91 goals a game lately, while Iskra Ribnita have conceded 1.36 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Iskra Ribnita have won 3 to FCM Ungheni's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 2.50) point toward Iskra Ribnita. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Iskra Ribnita
15%
Draws
39%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni's 2.73 goals per match outpaces what Iskra Ribnita have produced (2).
  • FCM Ungheni are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Ribnita FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Jul 25, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Ribnita 18 / 100
FCM Ungheni 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Ribnita FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Ribnita's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

FCM Ungheni has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Iskra Ribnita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Ribnita VS FCM Ungheni
3 Goals Scored 3.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Ribnita

(Home)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
09 Oct
FCM Ungheni
1 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau 2
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)