Sport Picks
Iskra Ribnita vs Stauceni Prediction & H2H Stats
Moldova
Super Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
20'
20'
Thiago Lacerda
29'
29'
Gliga E.
46'
46'
Telic N.
AI Match Summary
Iskra Ribnita in this Super Liga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Iskra Ribnita have won more games recently than Stauceni.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Iskra Ribnita taking it.
- Iskra Ribnita have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Iskra Ribnita, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 18%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iskra Ribnita | Stauceni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Stauceni
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Super Liga
Stauceni vs Iskra Ribnita
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Stauceni
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 1
Stauceni vs Iskra Ribnita
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Stauceni
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iskra Ribnita Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiago Lacerda
1 Goals Assists Leader Gliga E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Stauceni Compare
Top Goalscorer Telic N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iskra Ribnita 49 / 100
Stauceni 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iskra Ribnita Stauceni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iskra Ribnita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iskra Ribnita scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Stauceni let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Iskra Ribnita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Iskra Ribnita VS Stauceni
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Iskra Ribnita
(Home) 18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0 Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1 Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0 Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1 Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3 Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0 Zimbru Chisinau 2
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0 Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1 Tarigrad
21 Aug
Iskra Ribnita
10 : 0 Sparta Selemet
07 Aug
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 3 Vulturii Cutezatori
Page 1 of 4
Stauceni
(Away) 18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1 Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0 Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2 FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2 Stauceni
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0 Oguzsport
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0 Stauceni
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2 Stauceni
15 Aug
Victoria
3 : 2 Stauceni
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1 Stauceni
09 May
Real Sireti
4 : 3 Stauceni
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 2
Oguzsport 3
Iskra Ribnita -
TBD -
TBD -
Stauceni -
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
TBD -
Falesti -
Floresti -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 4
Victoria 2
Quarter-finals
Real Sireti 5
Oguzsport 2
Iskra Ribnita 3
Stauceni 1
Sparta Selemet 3
Falesti 0
Floresti 5
FCM Ungheni 4
Semi-finals
Real Sireti 1
Iskra Ribnita 0
Sparta Selemet 1
Floresti 4
Final
Real Sireti 1
Floresti 0
