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Iskra Ribnita vs Tarigrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pumnea G.
Own Goal
28' Event
Muntean D.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Burlac M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Iskra Ribnita
15%
Draws
0%
Tarigrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iskra Ribnita lately — more wins on the board than Tarigrad.
  • Win probability leans Iskra Ribnita's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Iskra Ribnita have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iskra Ribnita, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 20%
Tarigrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Ribnita Tarigrad
Matches Played 28 3
Wins 14 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.89 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Iskra Ribnita vs Tarigrad
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harb R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Tarigrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Burlac M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Ribnita 85 / 100
Tarigrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Ribnita Tarigrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Ribnita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Ribnita scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Tarigrad let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Iskra Ribnita remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Ribnita VS Tarigrad
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Ribnita

(Home)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 6

Tarigrad

(Away)
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
24 Sept
Tarigrad
0 : 2
Sireti
29 Aug
Tarigrad
0 : 2
Locomotiva Ocnita

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Tarigrad 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
FC Chisinau 2
Milsami -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 9
Olimp Comrat 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
National Ialoveni 1
FC Congaz 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Floresti 0
Edinet 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Oguzsport 2
Vulturii Cutezatori 1
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Sparta Selemet 0
Univer Comrat 3
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Victoria 5
Falesti 3
1/8-finals
CSF Balti -
Iskra Ribnita -
Politehnica UTM -
FC Chisinau -
Milsami -
FCM Ungheni -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
FC Congaz -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Edinet -
Zimbru Chisinau -
Oguzsport -
Dacia Buiucani -
Univer Comrat -
Real Sireti -
Victoria -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -