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Iskra Smolensk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Smolensk host FC Chertanovo Moscow in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. FC Chertanovo Moscow are expected to control this from the start. Iskra Smolensk have averaged 1 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against FC Chertanovo Moscow's 2 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Chertanovo Moscow slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.25) point toward FC Chertanovo Moscow. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Iskra Smolensk
6%
Draws
90%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Chertanovo Moscow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 10%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Smolensk FC Chertanovo Moscow
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Iskra Smolensk
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Smolensk 10 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Smolensk FC Chertanovo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Smolensk's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Iskra Smolensk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Smolensk VS FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Smolensk

(Home)
26 Jul
Cherepovets
2 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
04 Jul
Iskra Smolensk
2 : 4
FK Tver
21 Jun
FC Murom
6 : 0
Iskra Smolensk
13 Jun
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 1
Luki-Energiya
06 Jun
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
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FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
05 Jul
FC Irkutsk
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
28 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Dynamo Vologda
21 Jun
Baltika 2
1 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
14 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
3 : 1
Yenisey 2
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