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Iskra Smolensk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Agafontsev V.
58'
Anisimov I.
58'
Anisimov I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between Iskra Smolensk and FC Chertanovo Moscow finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Chertanovo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Iskra Smolensk
15%
Draws
49%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 10%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Smolensk FC Chertanovo Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.93 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Iskra Smolensk vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Iskra Smolensk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Smolensk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikadze G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agafontsev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Smolensk 34 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Smolensk FC Chertanovo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chertanovo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Smolensk's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Iskra Smolensk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Smolensk VS FC Chertanovo Moscow
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Smolensk

(Home)
10 Oct
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 4
FC Murom
04 Oct
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
20 Sept
Vladimir
0 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
12 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
:
FC Irkutsk
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FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 0
Baltika 2
04 Oct
Yenisey 2
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
21 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 2
Kosmos
12 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
1 : 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
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