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Iskra Smolensk vs FK Tver

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vasiliev M.
27' Event
Kozyrev S.
54' Event
Ponomarev E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

FK Tver in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Tver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Iskra Smolensk
6%
Draws
90%
FK Tver
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Tver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Tver have won more games recently than Iskra Smolensk.
  • Win probability leans FK Tver's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 16%
FK Tver Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Smolensk FK Tver
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Iskra Smolensk vs FK Tver
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Smolensk Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasiliev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozyrev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Tver Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponomarev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zakharov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Smolensk 10 / 100
FK Tver 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Smolensk FK Tver

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Tver let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Iskra Smolensk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

FK Tver lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Smolensk VS FK Tver
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%