Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iskra Smolensk vs Zvezda St Peterburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sokolov V.
45' Event
Sokolov V.
(Penalty)
46' Event
Aliev N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between Iskra Smolensk and Zvezda St Peterburg finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iskra Smolensk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Iskra Smolensk
15%
Draws
0%
Zvezda St Peterburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Smolensk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Zvezda St Peterburg's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Iskra Smolensk have produced (0.93).
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Iskra Smolensk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Iskra Smolensk Clean Sheet 16%
Zvezda St Peterburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Smolensk Zvezda St Peterburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Iskra Smolensk vs Zvezda St Peterburg
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Zvezda St Peterburg vs Iskra Smolensk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskra Smolensk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radzevskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zvezda St Peterburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Smolensk 84 / 100
Zvezda St Peterburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Smolensk Zvezda St Peterburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Smolensk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zvezda St Peterburg conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Zvezda St Peterburg's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Iskra Smolensk scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Smolensk VS Zvezda St Peterburg
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Smolensk

(Home)
10 Oct
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 4
FC Murom
04 Oct
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
20 Sept
Vladimir
0 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
12 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
:
FC Irkutsk
Page 1 of 6

Zvezda St Peterburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Zvezda St Peterburg
1 : 8
FK Tver
26 Sept
Iskra Smolensk
3 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
18 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 3
FC Murom
14 Sept
Zvezda St Peterburg
0 : 1
Luki-Energiya
29 Aug
Zvezda St Peterburg
2 : 3
Vladimir
Page 1 of 6