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Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas Prediction & H2H Stats

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2024
Sat, Feb 3, 2024
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Isla de La Juventud host Matanzas in the Liga Nacional 2024. This one's hard to separate. Matanzas have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Isla de La Juventud have conceded 1.65 and scored 0.87. Head-to-head, Isla de La Juventud have won 1 to Matanzas's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 0.75, favoring Matanzas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Isla de La Juventud
15%
Draws
21%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matanzas lately — more wins on the board than Isla de La Juventud.
  • Isla de La Juventud are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isla de La Juventud Matanzas
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
4:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Isla de La Juventud
0:0
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isla de La Juventud 86 / 100
Matanzas 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isla de La Juventud Matanzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isla de La Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matanzas let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Isla de La Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Matanzas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Isla de La Juventud VS Matanzas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Isla de La Juventud

(Home)
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
09 May
Isla de La Juventud
0 : 3
Artemisa
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
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Matanzas

(Away)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0
FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pinar del Rio 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Artemisa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FC Villa Clara 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 Mayabeque Guines 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Matanzas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Isla de La Juventud 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 FC La Habana 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 FC Ciego de Avila 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 FC Holguin 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 FC Santiago de Cuba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 FC Sancti Spiritus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 FC Camaguey 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 CF Granma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Las Tunas 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024 (Clausura)