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Islandmagee vs Ballymacash Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Ballymacash in this Irish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Islandmagee
15%
Draws
21%
Ballymacash
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Islandmagee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Islandmagee have won more games recently than Ballymacash.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Ballymacash taking it.
  • Islandmagee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymacash, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%
Ballymacash Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Islandmagee Ballymacash
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.66 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Ballymacash
0:4
Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Ballymacash
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Islandmagee 26 / 100
Ballymacash 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Islandmagee Ballymacash

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymacash Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ballymacash conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ballymacash has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Islandmagee VS Ballymacash
0 Goals Scored 2.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

(Home)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Ballymacash

(Away)
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2
Ballymacash
18 Jul
Ballymacash
2 : 3
Greystones United
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Banbridge Rangers 2
Queens University 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Moyola 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Dollingstown 1
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Dergview -
Islandmagee 0
Ballymacash 4
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 3
Limavady 1
Larne 0
Cliftonville 4
Banbridge Rangers 0
Glenavon 2
Dundela 0
Belfast Celtic 0
Moyola 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 2
Dollingstown 1
Ballyclare 0
Institute 2
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 1
Annagh 3
Portadown 2
Harland & Wolff 2
Glentoran 4
Linfield 4
Wellington Rec 0
Ballymacash 1
Ballinamallard 2
Carrick Rangers 4
Newry City 3
Dungannon 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Coleraine 5
Armagh 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 1
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 3
Glenavon 2
Moyola 1
Ards 3
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 3
Annagh 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 1
Ballinamallard 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 2
Ards 2
Loughgall 0
Bangor FC 3
Glentoran 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Ards 0
Bangor FC 0
Dungannon 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2