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Islandmagee vs Ballymacash

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballymacash in this Irish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Islandmagee
33%
Draws
40%
Ballymacash
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ballymacash

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Islandmagee have won more games recently than Ballymacash.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ballymacash taking it.
  • Islandmagee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymacash, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%
Ballymacash Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Islandmagee Ballymacash
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 4 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Ballymacash
0:4
Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Ballymacash
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Islandmagee 26 / 100
Ballymacash 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Islandmagee Ballymacash

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ballymacash conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ballymacash has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Islandmagee VS Ballymacash
0 Goals Scored 2.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

(Home)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Ballymacash

(Away)
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2
Ballymacash
18 Jul
Ballymacash
2 : 3
Greystones United
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Banbridge Rangers 2
Queens University 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Moyola 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Dollingstown 1
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Dergview -
Islandmagee 0
Ballymacash 4
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 3
Limavady 1
Larne 0
Cliftonville 4
Banbridge Rangers 0
Glenavon 2
Dundela 0
Belfast Celtic 0
Moyola 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 2
Dollingstown 1
Ballyclare 0
Institute 2
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 1
Annagh 3
Portadown 2
Harland & Wolff 2
Glentoran 4
Linfield 4
Wellington Rec 0
Ballymacash 1
Ballinamallard 2
Carrick Rangers 4
Newry City 3
Dungannon 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Coleraine 5
Armagh 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 1
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 3
Glenavon 2
Moyola 1
Ards 3
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 3
Annagh 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 1
Ballinamallard 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 2
Ards 2
Loughgall 0
Bangor FC 3
Glentoran 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Ards 0
Bangor FC 0
Dungannon 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2