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Ispe vs Dagon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Ispe Logo

Ispe

2 - 2
FT
Dagon Logo

Dagon

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Zaw T.
58' Event
Phyo N. L.
62' Event
Paw Say S. S. K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ispe
20%
Draws
47%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon have won more games recently than Ispe.
  • Win probability leans Dagon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%
Dagon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Dagon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.67 2
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
2:2
Feb 9, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Ispe
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
1:1
Nov 4, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Ispe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Phyo N. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paw Say S. S. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phyo Ye Yint
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 26 / 100
Dagon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Dagon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Ispe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Dagon
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
16 Oct
Thitsar Arman
2 : 3
Ispe
09 Oct
Ispe
2 : 2
Dagon
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

Dagon

(Away)
18 Oct
Mahar United
2 : 4
Dagon
09 Oct
Ispe
2 : 2
Dagon
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 4 3 1 0 13:4 10
2 Yangon Royals 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Yadanarbon 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
6 Thitsar Arman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
7 Ispe 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
8 Mahar United 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Hantharwady United 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
11 Chinland 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
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