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Ispe vs Dagon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Ispe Logo

Ispe

Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Dagon Logo

Dagon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ispe host Dagon in the National League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dagon have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Ispe have conceded 2 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Dagon slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.19 - 2.13) back Dagon to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ispe
15%
Draws
53%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon have won more games recently than Ispe.
  • Win probability leans Dagon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%
Dagon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Dagon
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.45 2.24
Goals Conceded 2 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Ispe
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
1:1
Nov 4, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Ispe
2:1
Nov 4, 2023 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 10 / 100
Dagon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Dagon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Ispe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Dagon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
25 Feb
Ispe
1 : 6
Shan United
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Dagon

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
6 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
7 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
8 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
9 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
10 Ispe 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Mahar United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)