Sport Picks

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Ispe vs Mahar United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thiha Dipa, Thanlyin
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Paw Say S. S. K.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Ispe and Mahar United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ispe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ispe
15%
Draws
42%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ispe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mahar United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Mahar United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
2:4
Jan 23, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Ispe
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Ispe
2:1
Jul 8, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Paw Say S. S. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mahar United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 30 / 100
Mahar United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahar United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Mahar United let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mahar United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Mahar United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

Mahar United

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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