Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Alcufer Stadion, Gyor
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Iliev N.
Assist: Raychev R.
58'
Rupanov B.
63'
Sub
Almagor O. In: Porat Ayash A.
Out: Almagor O.

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bulgaria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Israel U21
30%
Draws
39%
Bulgaria U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Israel U21 haven't matched Bulgaria U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Israel U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel U21 Bulgaria U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Israel U21
0:3
Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21
0:1
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Israel U21
1:0
Jun 3, 2019 Friendly International
Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21
2:1
Nov 18, 2009 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Israel U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iliev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel U21 41 / 100
Bulgaria U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel U21 Bulgaria U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Israel U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Israel U21's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Israel U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bulgaria U21 conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Israel U21 VS Bulgaria U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Israel U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Israel U21
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
10 Oct
Israel U21
1 : 1
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6

Bulgaria U21

(Away)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)