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Israel vs France

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Bozsik Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Israel play France in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Israel averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. France averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Israel won 0, France won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 14, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.08 for Israel and 2.23 for France. This points to a France double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Israel
27%
Draws
46%
France
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Israel picked up more points recently compared to France.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.08 vs 2.23 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Israel Clean Sheet 10%
France Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel France
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.43 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
France vs Israel
0:0
Oct 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs France
1:4
Mar 30, 2005 World Championship
Israel vs France
1:1
Sep 4, 2004 World Championship
France vs Israel
0:0
Oct 11, 2003 Euro
France vs Israel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandelman O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Camavinga E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nkunku C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel 26 / 100
France 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel France

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: France or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Israel attacking → ← attacking France

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Israel scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

France let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Israel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

France lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 66
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal642013:514
2Croatia62228:88
3Scotland62137:87
4Poland61149:164
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France641112:613
2Italy641113:813
3Belgium61146:94
4Israel61145:134
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany642018:414
2Netherlands623113:79
3Hungary61324:116
4Bosnia & Herzegovina60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651013:416
2Denmark62227:58
3Serbia61323:66
4Switzerland60246:142