Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Parrott T.
Assist: Abankwah J.
16'
16'
Idah A.
Assist: Moylan J.
25'
25'
Moylan J.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Israel and Ireland finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ireland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Israel haven't matched Ireland's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ireland's way, sitting at 60%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Israel Clean Sheet 14%
Ireland Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Israel | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Ireland vs Israel
1:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Ireland
0:3
Jun 4, 2005 World Championship
Ireland vs Israel
2:2
Mar 26, 2005 World Championship
Israel vs Ireland
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Israel Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ireland Compare
Top Goalscorer Parrott T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Idah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Israel 19 / 100
Ireland 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Israel Ireland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ireland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Israel's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ireland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Solid form: Israel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Israel VS Ireland
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Israel
(Home) 04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1 Israel
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0 Kosovo
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3 Ireland
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Israel
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0 Kosovo
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3 Ireland
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1 Moldova
08 Sept
Israel
4 : 5 Italy
10 Jun
Israel
1 : 0 Slovakia
Page 1 of 3
Ireland
(Away) 04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1 Israel
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2 Austria
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3 Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0 Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1 Ireland
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3 Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0 Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1 Ireland
26 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2 Ireland
16 Nov
Hungary
2 : 3 Ireland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
