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Israel vs Kosovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
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Match Events

59'
Sub
Jashari M. In: Hodza V.
Out: Jashari M.
59'
Sub
Kacuri D. In: Avdullahu L.
Out: Kacuri D.
59'
Sub
Avdyli M. In: Gallapeni D.
Out: Avdyli M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Israel
35%
Draws
40%
Kosovo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kosovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kosovo have won more games recently than Israel.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kosovo taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Israel Clean Sheet 10%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel Kosovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Kosovo
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Euro
Kosovo vs Israel
1:0
Mar 25, 2023 Euro
Israel vs Kosovo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel 26 / 100
Kosovo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel Kosovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kosovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Israel found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Kosovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Israel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Israel VS Kosovo
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Israel

(Home)
04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1
Israel
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
Page 1 of 6

Kosovo

(Away)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)