Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu

Istanbulspor AS

0 - 1

Erzurumspor FK

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Temel V.

61'

Cham A.

69'

Uzunhan E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Istanbulspor AS and Erzurumspor FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Istanbulspor AS

Draws

Erzurumspor FK

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Erzurumspor FK come out ahead of Istanbulspor AS on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Istanbulspor AS taking it.
Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 15%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Istanbulspor AS	Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	21
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Nov 29, 2025 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Apr 19, 2025 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Feb 27, 2025 Turkish Cup

Erzurumspor FK vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

0:3

Dec 14, 2024 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 84 / 100

Erzurumspor FK 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Istanbulspor AS Erzurumspor FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Istanbulspor AS scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Istanbulspor AS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erzurumspor FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Istanbulspor AS VS Erzurumspor FK

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54