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Istaravshan vs Barkchi Hisor Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Istaravshan and Barkchi Hisor finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barkchi Hisor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Istaravshan
35%
Draws
58%
Barkchi Hisor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barkchi Hisor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Istaravshan haven't matched Barkchi Hisor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Barkchi Hisor a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 12%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istaravshan Barkchi Hisor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Barkchi Hisor
1:4
Apr 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan
0:0
May 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Barkchi Hisor
2:0
Aug 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istaravshan 10 / 100
Barkchi Hisor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istaravshan Barkchi Hisor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barkchi Hisor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Barkchi Hisor has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Istaravshan has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istaravshan VS Barkchi Hisor
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Istaravshan

(Home)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
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Barkchi Hisor

(Away)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)