Sport Picks

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Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istaravshan host CSKA Pomir Dushanbe in the Vysshaya Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Istaravshan have averaged 0.86 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against CSKA Pomir Dushanbe's 1.41 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Istaravshan have won 1 to CSKA Pomir Dushanbe's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring CSKA Pomir Dushanbe. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Istaravshan
30%
Draws
58%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Pomir Dushanbe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSKA Pomir Dushanbe a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSKA Pomir Dushanbe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 13%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istaravshan CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Istaravshan
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2:1
May 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Istaravshan
4:1
Sep 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Istaravshan
4:1
Apr 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istaravshan 14 / 100
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istaravshan CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Istaravshan's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Istaravshan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istaravshan VS CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Istaravshan

(Home)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
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CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

(Away)
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
26 Jun
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)