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Istiklol Fergana vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiklol Fergana in this Pro Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiklol Fergana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Istiklol Fergana
39%
Draws
30%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona have won more games recently than Istiklol Fergana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 15%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istiklol Fergana Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2021 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana
2:0
Sep 9, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Neftchi Fargona
0:1
Oct 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Aug 25, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Neftchi Fargona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istiklol Fergana 31 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istiklol Fergana Neftchi Fargona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Istiklol Fergana stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Istiklol Fergana found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Neftchi Fargona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftchi Fargona
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Istiklol Fergana

(Home)
28 May
Istiklol Fergana
0 : 0
Aral
20 May
Shortan Guzor
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
14 May
FK Yangiyer
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
06 May
Istiklol Fergana
0 : 0
Olympic
15 Apr
Buxoro
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
Page 1 of 6

Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0
Kokand 1912
24 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185
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