Sport Picks
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tajikistan
Vysshaya Liga 
AI Match Summary
Istiqlol Dushanbe host Vakhsh in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Istiqlol Dushanbe at 2.29 goals for, 0.84 against; Vakhsh at 1.45 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Istiqlol Dushanbe slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.13, favoring Istiqlol Dushanbe. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vakhsh haven't matched Istiqlol Dushanbe's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Istiqlol Dushanbe taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Istiqlol Dushanbe | Vakhsh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.29 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Istiqlol Dushanbe scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Vakhsh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Istiqlol Dushanbe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Istiqlol Dushanbe
(Home)Vakhsh
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Regar-TadAZ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 37 |
| 3 | Khosilot Parkhar | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Barkchi Hisor | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 24 |
| 5 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Khujand | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 15:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan Kulob | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 8 | Vakhsh | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:32 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23:31 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 17 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15:35 | 6 |
