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Stadium Background

Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Istra 1961 Logo

Istra 1961

2 - 2
FT
Din. Zagreb Logo

Din. Zagreb

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Stojkovic L.
14' Event
Jaganjac H.
Assist: Ahmeti D.
24' Event
Beljo D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Istra 1961
30%
Draws
39%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Zagreb lately — more wins on the board than Istra 1961.
  • Model gives Istra 1961 a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 68%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istra 1961 Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 23
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.53 2.91
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb
2:2
Apr 22, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Istra 1961
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Istra 1961
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaganjac H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmeti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prevljak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istra 1961 50 / 100
Din. Zagreb 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istra 1961 Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Istra 1961 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Istra 1961 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Din. Zagreb has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istra 1961 VS Din. Zagreb
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Istra 1961

(Home)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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Din. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)