Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istra 1961 host Hajduk Split in the HNL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Istra 1961 have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Hajduk Split's 2.03 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Hajduk Split slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.06) point toward Hajduk Split. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Istra 1961
20%
Draws
48%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hajduk Split have won more games recently than Istra 1961.
  • Model gives Istra 1961 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istra 1961 Hajduk Split
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.59 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
2:2
Apr 7, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
1:3
Jan 25, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istra 1961 34 / 100
Hajduk Split 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istra 1961 Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Istra 1961 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Istra 1961 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hajduk Split's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Istra 1961 VS Hajduk Split
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Istra 1961

(Home)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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Hajduk Split

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)