Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Istra 1961 vs Rijeka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istra 1961 host Rijeka in the HNL. This one's hard to separate. Istra 1961 have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Rijeka's 1.52 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Rijeka slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.50) back Rijeka to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Istra 1961
20%
Draws
33%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka have won more games recently than Istra 1961.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Istra 1961 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 16%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istra 1961 Rijeka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Istra 1961
3:2
May 17, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Rijeka
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Istra 1961
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Rijeka
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Istra 1961
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istra 1961 39 / 100
Rijeka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istra 1961 Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Istra 1961 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Istra 1961 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rijeka has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istra 1961 VS Rijeka
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Istra 1961

(Home)
10 Oct
Osijek
1 : 3
Istra 1961
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
Page 1 of 6

Rijeka

(Away)
11 Oct
Slaven Belupo
4 : 1
Rijeka
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
4 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
5 Rijeka 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
8 Lok. Zagreb 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)