Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Istra 1961 vs Rudes

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Frederiksen E.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Frederiksen E.
Assist: Skafar Zuzic N.
35'
Stolnik M.

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between Istra 1961 and Rudes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Istra 1961.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Istra 1961
30%
Draws
23%
Rudes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Istra 1961 haven't matched Rudes's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Istra 1961 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Istra 1961 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 16%
Rudes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istra 1961 Rudes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Rudes
3:2
Oct 30, 2024 Croatian Cup
Rudes vs Istra 1961
1:2
May 3, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs Istra 1961
1:3
Feb 24, 2024 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Rudes
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 HNL
Rudes vs Istra 1961
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Frederiksen E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Rudes Compare

Top Goalscorer Saho C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilecic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istra 1961 84 / 100
Rudes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istra 1961 Rudes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Istra 1961 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Rudes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Istra 1961 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istra 1961 VS Rudes
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Istra 1961

(Home)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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Rudes

(Away)
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
09 Sept
NK Koprivnica
2 : 3
Rudes
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)