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Istres vs Chateauroux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
Istres Logo

Istres

0 - 0
FT
Chateauroux Logo

Chateauroux

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Istres and Chateauroux finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Istres
35%
Draws
26%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Istres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Chateauroux haven't matched Istres's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Istres Clean Sheet 20%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istres Chateauroux
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Istres vs Chateauroux
0:0
Apr 25, 2014 Ligue 2
Istres vs Chateauroux
0:0
Nov 29, 2013 Ligue 2
Chateauroux vs Istres
2:0
Jan 26, 2013 Ligue 2
Chateauroux vs Istres
2:0
Aug 17, 2012 Ligue 2
Istres vs Chateauroux
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istres 36 / 100
Chateauroux 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istres Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chateauroux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Istres went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Chateauroux has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Istres found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Istres VS Chateauroux
0.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Istres

(Home)
10 Nov
Nimes
3 : 0
Istres
07 Nov
Istres
0 : 0
Saint Priest
31 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
5 : 0
Istres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
19 Sept
Limonest
1 : 1
Istres
Page 1 of 6

Chateauroux

(Away)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)