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Itabaiana U20 vs Desportiva Aracaju U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Itabaiana U20
35%
Draws
38%
Desportiva Aracaju U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Itabaiana U20 have won more games recently than Desportiva Aracaju U20.
  • Desportiva Aracaju U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Itabaiana U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Desportiva Aracaju U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana U20 Desportiva Aracaju U20
Matches Played 19 7
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 2.26 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 vs Desportiva Aracaju U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana U20 15 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana U20 Desportiva Aracaju U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Aracaju U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana U20 scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Desportiva Aracaju U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

Solid form: Itabaiana U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana U20 VS Desportiva Aracaju U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Itabaiana U20
5 : 3
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 4

Desportiva Aracaju U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
12 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)