Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabaiana U20 vs Desportiva Aracaju U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Itabaiana U20 at 2.26 goals for, 1.89 against; Desportiva Aracaju U20 at 1.71 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Itabaiana U20 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.63) back Desportiva Aracaju U20 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Itabaiana U20
35%
Draws
38%
Desportiva Aracaju U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Itabaiana U20 have won more games recently than Desportiva Aracaju U20.
  • Desportiva Aracaju U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Itabaiana U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Itabaiana U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Desportiva Aracaju U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana U20 Desportiva Aracaju U20
Matches Played 19 7
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 2.26 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 vs Desportiva Aracaju U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana U20 15 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana U20 Desportiva Aracaju U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Aracaju U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana U20's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Desportiva Aracaju U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Solid form: Itabaiana U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana U20 VS Desportiva Aracaju U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Itabaiana U20
5 : 3
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 4

Desportiva Aracaju U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
12 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Falcon U20 -
Sergipe U20 -
Itabaiana U20 -
Desportiva Aracaju U20 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -