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Itabaiana U20 vs Sergipe U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 Logo

Itabaiana U20

5 - 3
FT
Sergipe U20 Logo

Sergipe U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano U20 game between Itabaiana U20 and Sergipe U20 finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Itabaiana U20
20%
Draws
42%
Sergipe U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sergipe U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sergipe U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Itabaiana U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Itabaiana U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Sergipe U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana U20 Sergipe U20
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.26 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 vs Sergipe U20
5:3
May 11, 2025 Sergipano U20
Sergipe U20 vs Itabaiana U20
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana U20 83 / 100
Sergipe U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana U20 Sergipe U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabaiana U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana U20's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Itabaiana U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sergipe U20 conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana U20 VS Sergipe U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Itabaiana U20
5 : 3
Sergipe U20
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Sergipe U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Nautico U20
6 : 2
Sergipe U20
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
3 : 1
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)