Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabaiana vs America de Propria

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2025 Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Danilo Bala
40'
Sub
Silva de Souza Junior A. C. In: Yasly
Out: Silva de Souza Junior A. C.
57'
Sub
Erick Salles In: Romarinho
Out: Erick Salles

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2025 game between Itabaiana and America de Propria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Itabaiana
33%
Draws
27%
America de Propria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Itabaiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • America de Propria have managed 0 goals a game lately — Itabaiana are scoring more at 0.75.
  • Itabaiana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 68%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana America de Propria
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs America de Propria
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs America de Propria
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

America de Propria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 50 / 100
America de Propria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana America de Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: America de Propria conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Itabaiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Confianca-
TBD-
Lagarto0
Falcon1
Itabaiana2
Sergipe0
America de Propria1
Guarany SE0
Semi-finals
Confianca5
Falcon1
Itabaiana2
America de Propria1
Final
Confianca3
Itabaiana2