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Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Betao
23'
Lucas Candido
45'
Leo Pereira

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Itabaiana and Botafogo PB finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Itabaiana
20%
Draws
64%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo PB come out ahead of Itabaiana on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 13%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana Botafogo PB
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB
3:3
Jun 30, 2025 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB
0:1
Feb 27, 1980 Serie A Betano
Botafogo PB vs Itabaiana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 35 / 100
Botafogo PB 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Botafogo PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo PB's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Botafogo PB
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo PB

(Away)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)