Sport Picks
Itabaiana vs Guarany SE
Brazil
Sergipano Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Guarany SE lately — more wins on the board than Itabaiana.
- Model gives Itabaiana a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itabaiana | Guarany SE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarany SE let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Itabaiana found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Guarany SE's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Itabaiana
(Home)Guarany SE
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
