Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Martha
Own Goal
10'
10'
Lucao
22'
22'
Sub
Everton Kanela In: Andrade L. F.
Out: Everton Kanela
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Itabaiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ituano lately — more wins on the board than Itabaiana.
- Win probability leans Itabaiana's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itabaiana | Ituano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Ituano
2:2
Jul 27, 2025 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Ituano
3:1
Jul 20, 2019 Serie D
Itabaiana vs Ituano
1:0
Jul 13, 2019 Serie D
Ituano vs Itabaiana
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itabaiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Leilson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ituano Compare
Top Goalscorer Tiaguinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Bruno Mezenga
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itabaiana 86 / 100
Ituano 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itabaiana Ituano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Itabaiana's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Ituano has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Itabaiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Itabaiana VS Ituano
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Itabaiana
(Home) 25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Brusque
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2 Itabaiana
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
20 Jun
Anapolis
2 : 0 Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Brusque
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
14 Jun
Itabaiana
2 : 2 Ituano
30 May
Itabaiana
0 : 1 Volta Redonda
09 May
Itabaiana
0 : 0 Floresta EC
Page 1 of 3
Ituano
(Away) 26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3 Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Ituano
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Maranhao
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0 Figueirense
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Ituano
14 Jun
Itabaiana
2 : 2 Ituano
30 May
SER Caxias do Sul
2 : 1 Ituano
17 May
Guarani
1 : 3 Ituano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Guarani | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 4 | Internacional de Limeira | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15:11 | 24 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Maringa FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28:25 | 23 |
| 8 | Ferroviaria | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 23 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 10 | SER Caxias do Sul | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 11 | Floresta EC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 12 | Amazonas | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | 20 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ituano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 15 | Volta Redonda | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | 18 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:18 | 17 |
| 18 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 19 | Anapolis | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Confianca | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9:15 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
