Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Martha
Own Goal
10'
10'
Lucao
22'
22'
Sub
Everton Kanela In: Andrade L. F.
Out: Everton Kanela
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ituano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ituano lately — more wins on the board than Itabaiana.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 20%
Ituano Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itabaiana | Ituano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Ituano
2:2
Jul 27, 2025 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Ituano
3:1
Jul 20, 2019 Serie D
Itabaiana vs Ituano
1:0
Jul 13, 2019 Serie D
Ituano vs Itabaiana
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itabaiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Leilson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ituano Compare
Top Goalscorer Tiaguinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Bruno Mezenga
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itabaiana 32 / 100
Ituano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itabaiana Ituano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Itabaiana's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ituano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.
Ituano lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Itabaiana VS Ituano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Itabaiana
(Home) 29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1 Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0 Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Brusque
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
14 Jun
Itabaiana
2 : 2 Ituano
Page 1 of 4
Ituano
(Away) 29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0 Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0 Ituano
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Ituano
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Ituano
14 Jun
Itabaiana
2 : 2 Ituano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
