Itabaiana 2-1 Santa Rita — Result & Match Report

Sport Picks

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Brazil

Serie D 2018

Itabaiana

2 - 1

FT

Santa Rita

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2018 game between Itabaiana and Santa Rita finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Itabaiana

15%

Draws

64%

Santa Rita

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Itabaiana carry the better recent record into this one.
Itabaiana are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular Serie D 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Itabaiana Clean Sheet 20%

Santa Rita Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Itabaiana	Santa Rita
Matches Played	34	27
Wins	10	5
Draws	10	5
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	0.94	0.85
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2018 Serie D

Itabaiana vs Santa Rita

2:1

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D

Santa Rita vs Itabaiana

2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 42 / 100

Santa Rita 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Itabaiana Santa Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rita let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Itabaiana's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Away concern: Santa Rita has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Santa Rita

0.75 Goals Scored 0.17

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.33

38% Over 1.5 33%

13% Over 2.5 17%

13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)

29 Aug

Itabaiana

0 : 2

Botafogo PB

23 Aug

Maranhao

4 : 1

Itabaiana

16 Aug

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

1 : 0

Itabaiana

09 Aug

Itabaiana

0 : 2

SER Caxias do Sul

25 Jul

Confianca

1 : 1

Itabaiana

Page 1 of 7

Santa Rita

(Away)

19 Sept

Cruzeiro-PB

0 : 1

Santa Rita

16 Sept

Auto Esporte

2 : 0

Santa Rita

13 Sept

Santa Rita

0 : 6

Desportiva Guarabira

27 May

Itabaiana

2 : 1

Santa Rita

20 May

Santa Rita

0 : 5

Treze PB

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manaus FC	6	4	0	2	14:8	12
2	Rio Branco AC	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
3	Macapa	6	2	0	4	7:16	6
4	Bare	6	1	2	3	5:8	5

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League Standings (Group 2)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente	6	3	3	0	8:3	12
2	Santos AP	6	2	2	2	13:8	8
3	Barcelona RO	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	Placido de Castro	6	1	1	4	8:19	4

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nacional-AM (Manaus)	6	3	1	2	9:4	10
2	Sao Raimundo RR	6	2	2	2	10:11	8
3	Sao Raimundo PA	6	2	2	2	7:8	8
4	Real Ariquemes	6	1	3	2	7:10	6

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League Standings (Group 4)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario	6	2	4	0	7:5	10
2	Cordino EC	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Julho Esporte	6	1	3	2	3:5	6
4	Interporto	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

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League Standings (Group 5)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moto Club	6	4	1	1	6:3	13
2	AE Altos	6	3	2	1	7:3	11
3	SD Sparta	6	1	2	3	6:9	5
4	ASSU	6	1	1	4	2:6	4

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League Standings (Group 6)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America RN	6	4	2	0	11:6	14
2	Imperatriz	6	2	3	1	10:3	9
3	Belo Jardim	6	0	4	2	6:12	4
4	Guarani de Juazeiro	6	0	3	3	8:14	3

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League Standings (Group 7)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sergipe	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
2	Jacuipense	6	2	2	2	8:8	8
3	Central SC	6	1	3	2	7:6	6
4	ASA	6	0	4	2	7:11	4

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League Standings (Group 8)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Campinense	6	5	1	0	12:3	16
2	Fluminense de Feira	6	4	1	1	18:3	13
3	Flamengo Arcoverde	6	1	1	4	4:16	4
4	Murici	6	0	1	5	4:16	1

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League Standings (Group 9)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treze PB	6	3	3	0	14:4	12
2	Itabaiana	6	3	1	2	11:9	10
3	Vitoria da Conquista	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
4	Santa Rita	6	1	0	5	6:16	3

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League Standings (Group 10)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ipora	6	4	1	1	10:4	13
2	Brasiliense	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
3	Corumbaense	6	2	2	2	5:9	8
4	Dom Bosco	6	0	1	5	2:10	1

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League Standings (Group 11)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sinop FC	6	3	1	2	6:5	10
2	Novoperario	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Aparecidense	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Ceilandia	6	1	2	3	9:11	5

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League Standings (Group 12)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macae	6	3	2	1	10:8	11
2	URT	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
3	Itumbiara	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
4	Espirito Santo (Inactive)	6	0	2	4	6:12	2

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League Standings (Group 13)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uberlandia	6	3	2	1	10:7	11
2	Novorizontino	6	2	3	1	10:9	9
3	Americano	6	2	2	2	10:11	8
4	CA Itapemirim	6	0	3	3	3:6	3

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League Standings (Group 14)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linense	6	2	3	1	5:3	9
2	Maringa FC	6	2	3	1	7:6	9
3	Madureira	6	1	3	2	6:7	6
4	Caldense	6	1	3	2	5:7	6

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League Standings (Group 15)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SER Caxias do Sul	6	5	1	0	13:2	16
2	Inter de Lages	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
3	Mirassol	6	2	1	3	3:5	7
4	Nova Iguacu	6	1	0	5	6:11	3

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League Standings (Group 16)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tubarao	6	5	0	1	9:3	15
2	Novo Hamburgo	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Cianorte	6	1	3	2	2:5	6
4	Ferroviaria	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

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League Standings (Group 17)

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Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Jose (PA)	6	6	0	0	10:4	18
2	Brusque	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
3	Prudentopolis	6	2	0	4	6:8	6
4	Mogi Mirim	6	1	0	5	6:14	3

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