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Itabaiana vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Betao In: Lucao
Out: Betao
39'
Lucas Rocha
43'
Dias C.

AI Match Summary

Volta Redonda in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volta Redonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Itabaiana
15%
Draws
64%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volta Redonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Itabaiana haven't matched Volta Redonda's recent run of results.
  • Itabaiana are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 68%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana Volta Redonda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.8 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Volta Redonda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliano Fabro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 51 / 100
Volta Redonda 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana Volta Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Volta Redonda let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Volta Redonda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Volta Redonda
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Volta Redonda

(Away)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)