Sport Picks

Brazil

Goiano 2 2015

Vila Nova FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itaberai play Vila Nova FC in the Goiano 2 2015. Vila Nova FC are favorites here. Recently, Itaberai averaged 0.69 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. Vila Nova FC averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Itaberai won 0, Vila Nova FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2015 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Itaberai and 1.36 for Vila Nova FC. This points to a Vila Nova FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Itaberai

22%

Draws

60%

Vila Nova FC

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Itaberai picked up more points recently compared to Vila Nova FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Itaberai Clean Sheet 18%

Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Itaberai	Vila Nova FC
Matches Played	16	31
Wins	3	16
Draws	2	8
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	0.69	1.58
Goals Conceded	2.19	0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Goiano 2

Itaberai vs Vila Nova FC

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

Feb 25, 2015 Goiano 2

Vila Nova FC vs Itaberai

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaberai 20 / 100

Vila Nova FC 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Itaberai Vila Nova FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Vila Nova FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Itaberai attacking → ← attacking Vila Nova FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaberai scored in 44% of their last 16 games.

Vila Nova FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Itaberai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vila Nova FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 56

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova FC	8	6	2	0	17:5	20
2	Anapolis	8	4	0	4	14:10	12
3	America GO	8	3	1	4	9:9	10
4	Novo Horizonte	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
5	Itaberai	8	2	0	6	5:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ipora	8	5	1	2	13:6	16
2	Goiania	8	5	1	2	11:9	16
3	Santa Helena	8	3	3	2	9:6	12
4	Rio Verde	8	2	3	3	7:12	9
5	EC Quirinopolis	8	0	2	6	5:12	2