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Itabirito U20 vs Minas Boca U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 Logo

Itabirito U20

1 - 0
FT
Minas Boca U20 Logo

Minas Boca U20

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Match Events

18' Event
Vitinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 game between Itabirito U20 and Minas Boca U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Itabirito U20
20%
Draws
40%
Minas Boca U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Itabirito U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Itabirito U20's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Mineiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Minas Boca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito U20 Minas Boca U20
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.34 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs Minas Boca U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Minas Boca U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito U20 48 / 100
Minas Boca U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito U20 Minas Boca U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito U20 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Minas Boca U20 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Minas Boca U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito U20 VS Minas Boca U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
21 Aug
Boston City U20
3 : 2
Itabirito U20
14 Aug
Itabirito U20
2 : 0
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

Minas Boca U20

(Away)
15 Aug
Inter de Minas U20
0 : 2
Minas Boca U20
08 Aug
Minas Boca U20
1 : 2
Villa Real U20
01 Aug
Uberabinha U20
2 : 1
Minas Boca U20
11 Jul
Minas Boca U20
0 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei U20
27 Jun
Nacional de Muriae U20
4 : 1
Minas Boca U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
4 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
5 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
6 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
7 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
8 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
9 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
10 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
11 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
12 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
13 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
14 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
15 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
3 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
4 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
5 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
2 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
3 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
4 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
5 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
3 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
4 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
5 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)