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Itabirito W vs America Mineiro W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Juliana
14' Event
Dani Ortolan
49' Event
Dani Ortolan

AI Match Summary

Itabirito W in this Mineiro Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabirito W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Itabirito W
20%
Draws
34%
America Mineiro W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • America Mineiro W haven't matched Itabirito W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives America Mineiro W a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 16%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W America Mineiro W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.23 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs America Mineiro W
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Itabirito W
4:1
Nov 15, 2024 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Itabirito W
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs America Mineiro W
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs America Mineiro W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mimi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

America Mineiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dani Ortolan
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 23 / 100
America Mineiro W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W America Mineiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America Mineiro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

America Mineiro W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Itabirito W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS America Mineiro W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
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America Mineiro W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
26 Sept
America Mineiro W
6 : 1
Venda Nova FC W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
05 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 6
America Mineiro W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
3 Itabirito W 4 2 2 0 15:5 8
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 4 0 1 3 3:33 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)