Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabirito W vs Cruzeiro W

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Itabirito W Logo

Itabirito W

3 - 3
FT
Cruzeiro W Logo

Cruzeiro W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Juliana
13' Event
Marilia
41' Event
Mariana Fausto
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro Women matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Itabirito W
30%
Draws
33%
Cruzeiro W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itabirito W lately — more wins on the board than Cruzeiro W.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro W a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 15%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Cruzeiro W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 20 16
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.16 3.82
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs Cruzeiro W
3:3
Nov 8, 2025 Mineiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Itabirito W
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs Cruzeiro W
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Mineiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Itabirito W
5:0
Sep 15, 2024 Mineiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Itabirito W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cruzeiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marilia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mariana Fausto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 10 / 100
Cruzeiro W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Cruzeiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Cruzeiro W let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Itabirito W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Cruzeiro W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 7

Cruzeiro W

(Away)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
02 Sept
Cruzeiro W
9 : 0
Venda Nova FC W
31 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 4 3 1 0 32:3 10
2 Atletico-MG W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 America Mineiro W 3 2 0 1 13:4 6
4 Democrata GV W 4 1 0 3 5:15 3
5 Itabirito W 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
6 Venda Nova FC W 3 0 1 2 2:16 1
7 Araguari W 3 0 1 2 3:22 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)