Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabirito W vs Democrata GV W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Itabirito W host Democrata GV W in the Mineiro Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Itabirito W at 2.67 goals for, 0.7 against; Democrata GV W at 1.8 for, 3 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.50 - 0.88) back Itabirito W to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Itabirito W
15%
Draws
27%
Democrata GV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabirito W have won more games recently than Democrata GV W.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Itabirito W taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 20%
Democrata GV W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Democrata GV W
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 22 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.67 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.7 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 85 / 100
Democrata GV W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Democrata GV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Democrata GV W conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Recent resilience: Itabirito W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Democrata GV W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Democrata GV W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
09 Oct
Araguari W
1 : 7
Itabirito W
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 6

Democrata GV W

(Away)
08 Oct
Democrata GV W
4 : 0
Venda Nova FC W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
11 Sept
Araguari W
2 : 5
Democrata GV W
05 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 6
America Mineiro W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
3 Itabirito W 4 2 2 0 15:5 8
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 4 0 1 3 3:33 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)