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Itabirito W vs Minas Brasilia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
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Match Events

13' Event
51' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Itabirito W
30%
Draws
27%
Minas Brasilia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Minas Brasilia W at 3.07 per game, Itabirito W at 2.52.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabirito W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 10%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Minas Brasilia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.52 3.07
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Minas Brasilia W
4:1
Aug 30, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W
1:1
May 3, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 30 / 100
Minas Brasilia W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Minas Brasilia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Itabirito W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Minas Brasilia W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Minas Brasilia W
1.5 Goals Scored 4
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
09 Oct
Araguari W
1 : 7
Itabirito W
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
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Minas Brasilia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cresspom W
1 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
26 Sept
Minas Brasilia W
6 : 0
Ceilandia W
19 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 18
Minas Brasilia W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vasco W 4
Taubate W 1
Atletico-PI W 5
3B da Amazonia W 1
Itabirito W 3
Sport Recife W 0
Minas Brasilia W 2
Acao W 0
Semi-finals
Vasco W 8
Atletico-PI W 1
Itabirito W 5
Minas Brasilia W 2
Final
Vasco W 4
Itabirito W 3