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Itabirito W vs Sport Recife W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bruna Marques
43' Event
De La Torre L.
62' Event
Victoria B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Itabirito W
35%
Draws
32%
Sport Recife W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Itabirito W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Itabirito W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabirito W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Itabirito W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 28%
Sport Recife W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Sport Recife W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.04 2.37
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Sport Recife W
3:0
Aug 16, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sport Recife W vs Itabirito W
0:0
May 27, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Itabirito W vs Sport Recife W
2:1
May 16, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sport Recife W vs Itabirito W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruna Marques
1 Goals
Assists Leader De La Torre L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sport Recife W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 34 / 100
Sport Recife W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Sport Recife W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itabirito W scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Itabirito W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sport Recife W has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Sport Recife W
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 6

Sport Recife W

(Away)
23 Aug
Itabirito W
3 : 0
Sport Recife W
16 Aug
Sport Recife W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Sport Recife W
2 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
25 Jul
Taubate W
0 : 0
Sport Recife W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vasco W 4
Taubate W 1
Atletico-PI W 5
3B da Amazonia W 1
Itabirito W 3
Sport Recife W 0
Minas Brasilia W 2
Acao W 0
Semi-finals
Vasco W 8
Atletico-PI W 1
Itabirito W 5
Minas Brasilia W 2
Final
Vasco W 4
Itabirito W 3