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Itabirito W vs Vasco W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tandeski F.
19' Event
Arce Fretes V.
50' Event
Camila

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Itabirito W
20%
Draws
48%
Vasco W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco W have won more games recently than Itabirito W.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Vasco W taking it.
  • Vasco W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vasco W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 16%
Vasco W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Vasco W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2 2.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vasco W vs Itabirito W
1:2
Sep 13, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Vasco W
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Vasco W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Camila
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vasco W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandeski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arce Fretes V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 10 / 100
Vasco W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Vasco W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Itabirito W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Vasco W has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Vasco W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 6

Vasco W

(Away)
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
08 Sept
Vasco W
4 : 0
Atletico-PI W
29 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 4
Vasco W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vasco W 4
Taubate W 1
Atletico-PI W 5
3B da Amazonia W 1
Itabirito W 3
Sport Recife W 0
Minas Brasilia W 2
Acao W 0
Semi-finals
Vasco W 8
Atletico-PI W 1
Itabirito W 5
Minas Brasilia W 2
Final
Vasco W 4
Itabirito W 3